Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.000898 0.001030 0.001165 0.001310 0.001463 0.001618 0.001787
2025-07-27 0.000694 0.000896 0.001110 0.001350 0.001610 0.001881 0.002182
2025-08-03 0.000505 0.000754 0.001030 0.001354 0.001713 0.002097 0.002532
2025-08-10 0.000307 0.000572 0.000888 0.001274 0.001717 0.002201 0.002759
2025-08-17 0.000179 0.000447 0.000794 0.001238 0.001763 0.002347 0.003031
2025-08-24 0.000078 0.000325 0.000688 0.001176 0.001771 0.002446 0.003247
2025-08-31 0.000026 0.000250 0.000629 0.001164 0.001832 0.002601 0.003524
2025-09-07 0.000004 0.000205 0.000603 0.001189 0.001935 0.002803 0.003852
2025-09-14 NaN 0.000148 0.000548 0.001169 0.001980 0.002934 0.004097
2025-09-21 NaN 0.000115 0.000524 0.001187 0.002068 0.003114 0.004396
2025-09-28 NaN 0.000095 0.000519 0.001230 0.002185 0.003328 0.004733
2025-10-05 NaN 0.000060 0.000471 0.001207 0.002218 0.003438 0.004948
2025-10-12 NaN 0.000024 0.000408 0.001167 0.002239 0.003551 0.005186
2025-10-19 NaN 0.000013 0.000400 0.001210 0.002371 0.003802 0.005592
2025-10-26 NaN 0.000002 0.000369 0.001217 0.002457 0.003998 0.005935
2025-11-02 NaN NaN 0.000294 0.001143 0.002431 0.004055 0.006115
2025-11-09 NaN NaN 0.000248 0.001111 0.002459 0.004178 0.006372
2025-11-16 NaN NaN 0.000193 0.001053 0.002447 0.004250 0.006566
2025-11-23 NaN NaN 0.000166 0.001041 0.002499 0.004401 0.006855
2025-11-30 NaN NaN 0.000156 0.001066 0.002602 0.004615 0.007220
2025-12-07 NaN NaN 0.000129 0.001048 0.002641 0.004747 0.007483
2025-12-14 NaN NaN 0.000119 0.001065 0.002731 0.004943 0.007824
2025-12-21 NaN NaN 0.000118 0.001105 0.002855 0.005184 0.008218